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Red142
632845.5
50925.7
632957.8
Blue83
581337.8
287730.0
490818.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139845010015020014283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.80.4
56.657.0
Auto14.3
Teleop34.4
End8.9
red by 20.1
37.80.1
37.737.6
Auto12.4
Teleop19.8
End5.6
Second
45.50.4
44.344.7
Auto13.4
Teleop22.5
End9.4
red by 15.5
2877
#19
30.00.1
29.929.9
Auto8.7
Teleop15.3
End6.0
Third
509
#17
25.70.4
24.524.9
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End6.9
red by 7.7
4908
#23
18.00.1
17.917.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.1
End7.0