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Red136
490941.8
854424.4
16638.8
Blue91
174037.3
804636.9
928616.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1109740608012014016018013691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.7
40.641.2
Auto13.6
Teleop19.7
End8.5
red by 4.5
1740
#10
37.30.3
38.037.7
Auto10.8
Teleop21.4
End5.2
Second
166
#9
38.80.7
37.638.2
Auto2.5
Teleop25.9
End10.4
red by 1.9
36.90.3
37.537.3
Auto11.0
Teleop16.8
End9.2
Third
8544
#26
24.40.7
23.123.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.2
End6.6
red by 7.8
9286
#15
16.60.3
17.217.0
Auto6.2
Teleop3.6
End6.7