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Red98
490818.0
287730.0
581337.8
Blue75
115335.8
24626.7
135013.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93782040601001201401609875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.2
37.537.7
Auto12.4
Teleop19.8
End5.6
red by 2.0
1153
#14
35.80.0
35.535.5
Auto10.0
Teleop16.9
End8.9
Second
2877
#19
30.00.2
29.829.9
Auto8.7
Teleop15.3
End6.0
red by 3.4
246
#8
26.70.0
26.426.4
Auto7.4
Teleop13.0
End6.3
Third
4908
#23
18.00.2
17.818.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.1
End7.0
red by 4.5
1350
#28
13.50.0
13.313.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.1
End5.0