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Red65
131914.8
34330.2
309114.3
Blue70
453323.7
445142.2
513016.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587002040801001201401606570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#12
30.20.4
24.725.2
Auto7.9
Teleop14.9
End7.4
blue by 12.0
42.20.6
30.230.8
Auto12.2
Teleop19.9
End10.1
Second
14.80.4
16.617.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End6.4
blue by 9.0
23.70.6
18.719.3
Auto9.0
Teleop9.4
End5.3
Third
3091
#17
14.30.4
14.815.2
Auto1.2
Teleop8.7
End4.5
blue by 2.1
5130
#19
16.40.6
15.616.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsMissed