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Red69
281527.8
407311.7
453323.7
Blue37
110235.7
129319.1
616710.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576202040801006937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.81.0
26.627.6
Auto8.3
Teleop10.8
End8.6
blue by 7.9
35.72.5
27.925.4
Auto13.0
Teleop14.2
End8.5
Second
23.71.0
16.517.5
Auto9.0
Teleop9.4
End5.3
red by 4.6
19.12.5
17.715.2
Auto6.1
Teleop8.1
End4.9
Third
4073
#23
11.71.0
10.711.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End5.9
red by 1.0
6167
#21
10.62.5
12.29.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed