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Red31
513016.4
28120.6
691012.0
Blue69
34226.0
131914.8
636624.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54642040801003169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#18
20.61.7
22.220.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.4
End3.1
blue by 5.4
342
#11
26.00.9
23.524.4
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End6.6
Second
5130
#19
16.41.9
17.415.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.3
End4.3
blue by 7.8
6366
#16
24.30.9
22.623.4
Auto8.3
Teleop12.9
End3.1
Third
6910
#20
12.01.9
12.410.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End3.6
blue by 2.7
14.80.9
12.313.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
11%Activation oddsMissed24%Activation oddsMissed