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Red44
105125.6
348924.8
696112.8
Blue72
128730.4
513016.4
857517.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66654050607080904472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1051
#13
25.61.3
24.623.3
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End5.7
blue by 4.8
30.40.8
29.129.9
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End6.9
Second
24.81.3
25.624.3
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End9.5
red by 7.0
8575
#14
17.80.8
16.617.4
Auto8.0
Teleop5.5
End4.3
Third
6961
#25
12.81.3
11.610.3
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End6.4
blue by 3.7
5130
#19
16.40.9
15.516.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsEarned