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Red23
691012.0
128730.4
39762.5
Blue53
281527.8
34226.0
348924.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476202040801002353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.42.6
18.616.0
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End6.9
red by 2.6
27.81.5
17.616.1
Auto8.3
Teleop10.8
End8.6
Second
6910
#20
12.02.6
15.713.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End3.6
blue by 13.9
342
#11
26.01.5
17.816.4
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End6.6
Third
3976
#26
2.52.6
12.09.4
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.6
End2.0
blue by 22.3
24.81.5
20.819.3
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed34%Activation oddsMissed