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Red95
407311.7
281527.8
34330.2
Blue0
691012.0
131914.8
34226.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77540204060100120140950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#12
30.20.1
30.130.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.9
End7.4
red by 4.2
342
#11DQ
26.00.2
26.126.0
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End6.6
Second
27.80.1
27.727.6
Auto8.3
Teleop10.8
End8.6
red by 13.0
1319
#7DQ
14.80.2
14.914.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End6.4
Third
4073
#23
11.70.1
11.611.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End5.9
blue by 0.4
6910
#20DQ
12.00.2
12.212.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End3.6