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Red104
407311.7
281527.8
34330.2
Blue74
348924.8
616710.6
128730.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions756940608010012010474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#12
30.20.2
30.130.3
Auto7.9
Teleop14.9
End7.4
blue by 0.2
30.40.1
30.330.4
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End6.9
Second
27.80.2
27.627.9
Auto8.3
Teleop10.8
End8.6
red by 3.0
24.80.1
24.724.8
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End9.5
Third
4073
#23
11.70.2
11.511.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End5.9
red by 1.0
6167
#21
10.60.1
10.610.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End2.0