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Red105
696112.8
445142.2
110235.7
Blue80
28120.6
857517.8
482315.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9551015010580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.5
39.740.2
Auto12.2
Teleop19.9
End10.1
red by 21.5
281
#18
20.60.3
20.320.6
Auto7.1
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Second
35.70.5
33.233.7
Auto13.0
Teleop14.2
End8.5
red by 17.9
8575
#14
17.80.3
17.417.8
Auto8.0
Teleop5.5
End4.3
Third
6961
#25
12.80.5
10.310.8
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End6.4
blue by 3.2
4823
#15
15.90.3
15.615.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.9
End4.2