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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8643020601001201401609363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#15
28.61.2
24.225.4
Auto10.2
Teleop10.3
End8.1
blue by 7.7
36.30.8
26.127.0
Auto14.5
Teleop16.0
End5.7
Second
1758
#11
28.41.2
22.423.6
Auto8.9
Teleop11.2
End8.4
red by 9.0
6167
#20
19.40.8
15.216.0
Auto8.9
Teleop6.7
End3.8
Third
4935
#18
25.31.2
28.629.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End7.3
red by 16.1
3976
#24
9.20.8
4.25.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned20%Activation oddsMissed