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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655802040801001201401607981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#4
40.71.3
33.835.1
Auto10.6
Teleop23.0
End7.1
red by 15.4
4935
#18
25.31.4
27.829.1
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End7.3
Second
4073
#19
17.81.3
12.613.9
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End7.3
blue by 4.2
8575
#16
22.01.4
18.720.1
Auto7.3
Teleop9.3
End5.5
Third
6961
#26
15.41.3
13.314.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End5.7
red by 2.3
1539
#17
13.11.4
9.010.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsMissed