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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10978406010012014016010164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.1
49.649.4
Auto14.7
Teleop26.8
End8.0
red by 13.2
281
#3
36.40.9
35.134.2
Auto10.6
Teleop19.4
End6.4
Second
1758
#11
28.40.1
26.726.5
Auto8.9
Teleop11.2
End8.4
red by 3.2
4935
#18
25.30.9
26.325.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End7.3
Third
21.50.1
21.921.7
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End8.2
red by 6.5
4823
#21
14.90.9
16.015.1
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsMissed