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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48960204060801201407892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#3
36.41.5
23.024.5
Auto10.6
Teleop19.4
End6.4
red by 4.7
1287
#13
31.60.2
30.630.8
Auto7.6
Teleop18.2
End5.9
Second
6167
#20
19.41.5
11.513.0
Auto8.9
Teleop6.7
End3.8
blue by 9.7
29.10.2
25.826.0
Auto9.8
Teleop13.9
End5.4
Third
4748
#23
16.92.5
16.318.8
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End5.2
blue by 11.2
2815
#12
28.10.2
27.327.5
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
8%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned