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Red78
816922.3
767314.8
879013.8
Blue111
749715.5
764527.1
763243.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36730206010012014016078111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8169
#10
22.30.9
23.124.0
Auto3.2
Teleop17.4
End1.6
blue by 21.0
43.30.7
42.443.1
Auto8.5
Teleop34.3
End0.5
Second
14.80.9
16.217.1
Auto2.1
Teleop11.7
End1.0
blue by 12.3
27.10.7
28.729.4
Auto8.2
Teleop17.8
End1.1
Third
8790
#13
13.80.9
15.216.1
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End0.3
blue by 1.6
7497
#14
15.50.7
14.615.3
Auto3.4
Teleop11.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
19%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsMissed