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Red76
763243.3
767314.8
770917.8
Blue43
858415.4
859527.9
758917.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7863020401001201401607643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.3
35.935.6
Auto8.5
Teleop34.3
End0.5
red by 15.4
27.91.6
31.029.4
Auto8.4
Teleop18.4
End1.1
Second
17.80.4
24.424.0
Auto3.5
Teleop13.0
End1.2
red by 0.5
7589
#17DQ
17.31.9
20.218.2
Auto5.4
Teleop12.5
End-0.7
Third
14.80.3
15.315.0
Auto2.1
Teleop11.7
End1.0
blue by 0.6
8584
#12
15.42.6
15.512.9
Auto2.6
Teleop14.1
End-1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsMissed