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Qual 212023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red43
574419.2
707217.8
401319.2
Blue103
457634.2
10842.2
398431.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions619520408012014016043103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5744
#32
19.22.6
16.3→13.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End4.6
blue by 23.0
108
#6
42.21.2
29.6→30.8
Auto11.0
Teleop23.7
End7.4
Second
4013
#27
19.21.6
21.0→19.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.2
End6.8
blue by 15.0
4576
#12
34.22.0
24.7→26.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.6
End9.7
Third
7072
#23
17.82.6
24.0→21.4
Auto6.8
Teleop7.6
End3.4
blue by 14.1
3984
#14
31.91.2
30.3→31.6
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed35%Activation oddsEarned