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Qual 392023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red109
463019.3
426548.3
146632.0
Blue130
402054.2
382422.7
32550.0
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8112750100150109130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#8
48.31.5
43.2→44.7
Auto15.7
Teleop24.7
End7.9
blue by 5.8
4020
#2
54.20.8
49.9→50.7
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End10.0
Second
1466
#3
32.02.4
21.8→24.3
Auto11.1
Teleop13.6
End7.3
blue by 18.0
325
#4
50.00.8
44.4→45.2
Auto14.6
Teleop28.4
End7.0
Third
4630
#30
19.32.4
17.0→19.4
Auto6.8
Teleop6.7
End5.8
blue by 3.5
3824
#25
22.70.8
18.9→19.7
Auto5.8
Teleop9.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned