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Qual 462023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red75
382422.7
450425.6
146632.0
Blue73
401319.2
349234.5
398431.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6892204060801001201407573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#3
32.00.8
24.3→25.1
Auto11.1
Teleop13.6
End7.3
blue by 2.5
3492
#9
34.50.7
33.9→33.2
Auto12.0
Teleop15.9
End6.5
Second
4504
#22
25.60.5
22.9→23.5
Auto8.6
Teleop12.5
End4.5
blue by 6.4
3984
#14
31.90.7
30.6→29.9
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End8.2
Third
3824
#25
22.70.5
19.7→20.2
Auto5.8
Teleop9.4
End7.6
red by 3.6
4013
#27
19.20.7
18.5→17.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.2
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed24%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned