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Qual 492023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red105
574419.2
402054.2
382129.1
Blue101
365323.7
238343.4
549230.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10194406080120140105101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#2
54.20.8
51.6→52.4
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End10.0
red by 10.7
2383
#10
43.40.8
40.1→40.8
Auto11.1
Teleop24.4
End7.9
Second
3821
#33
29.11.2
28.1→29.3
Auto10.2
Teleop15.0
End3.9
blue by 1.2
5492
#20
30.30.8
27.1→27.9
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End5.0
Third
5744
#32
19.21.2
13.8→15.0
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End4.6
blue by 4.5
3653
#29
23.70.8
22.2→23.0
Auto5.8
Teleop9.9
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned