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Red70
752536.1
751617.0
884138.3
Blue118
630216.7
10842.2
261446.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95105608012014016070118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8841
#11
38.31.4
39.037.6
Auto8.1
Teleop22.3
End8.0
blue by 8.3
2614
#16
46.51.4
43.745.0
Auto13.9
Teleop24.2
End8.4
Second
7525
#13
36.11.4
33.231.9
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End9.0
blue by 6.0
108
#6
42.21.4
39.841.2
Auto11.0
Teleop23.7
End7.4
Third
7516
#38
17.02.0
18.616.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End5.5
red by 0.3
6302
#37
16.72.0
14.116.0
Auto1.1
Teleop11.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned