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Red127
500516.6
32550.0
245159.1
Blue75
285619.0
398431.9
426548.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13598608012016018012775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.10.3
57.157.5
Auto12.5
Teleop36.9
End9.5
red by 10.8
48.31.5
46.144.6
Auto15.7
Teleop24.7
End7.9
Second
325
#4
50.00.3
49.049.4
Auto14.6
Teleop28.4
End7.0
red by 18.1
3984
#14
31.91.5
29.928.4
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End8.2
Third
5005
#35
16.60.4
15.816.2
Auto6.4
Teleop4.6
End5.6
blue by 2.3
2856
#31
19.01.9
20.919.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsMissed