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Match 42023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red131
450425.6
146632.0
261446.5
Blue91
349234.5
884138.3
446227.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105108608010012014016013191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#16
46.50.6
44.9→45.5
Auto13.9
Teleop24.2
End8.4
red by 8.3
8841
#11
38.30.2
38.7→38.4
Auto8.1
Teleop22.3
End8.0
Second
1466
#3
32.00.7
30.2→30.9
Auto11.1
Teleop13.6
End7.3
blue by 2.5
3492
#9
34.50.2
34.8→34.6
Auto12.0
Teleop15.9
End6.5
Third
4504
#22
25.60.6
24.0→24.6
Auto8.6
Teleop12.5
End4.5
blue by 1.7
4462
#18
27.20.3
27.7→27.4
Auto10.5
Teleop10.8
End5.9