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Match 72023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red146
651727.3
245159.1
173048.5
Blue132
398431.9
426548.3
314038.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141114406080100160180200146132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#1
59.10.4
57.1→57.5
Auto12.5
Teleop36.9
End9.5
red by 10.8
4265
#8
48.30.4
45.5→45.9
Auto15.7
Teleop24.7
End7.9
Second
1730
#7
48.50.4
46.5→46.9
Auto11.5
Teleop29.3
End7.6
red by 9.6
3140
#5
38.90.4
36.1→36.4
Auto11.5
Teleop18.5
End8.9
Third
6517
#24
27.30.5
24.9→25.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.2
End7.0
blue by 4.6
3984
#14
31.90.4
29.1→29.4
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End8.2