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Red45
784019.7
904115.3
920112.4
Blue102
90838.7
566525.1
856120.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57572030405070809010045102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7840
#39
19.71.4
19.718.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End6.8
blue by 5.4
25.12.8
20.323.1
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End5.1
Second
9041
#28
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End5.0
blue by 4.7
8561
#11
20.12.8
17.820.6
Auto6.8
Teleop6.6
End6.7
Third
9201
#50
12.41.4
16.214.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End5.1
red by 3.7
9083
#38
8.710.8
8.719.5
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsEarned