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Red99
816621.1
497222.2
728553.2
Blue36
687412.3
745812.8
606417.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions874902040601001201401609936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.22.0
44.546.5
Auto16.2
Teleop30.6
End6.3
red by 36.1
6064
#24
17.11.7
21.019.3
Auto5.8
Teleop5.1
End6.2
Second
4972
#30
22.22.4
17.219.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.8
End5.5
red by 9.4
7458
#32
12.81.7
15.814.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End6.1
Third
8166
#15
21.12.4
15.317.7
Auto9.3
Teleop6.9
End4.9
red by 8.9
6874
#25
12.31.7
14.212.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsMissed