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Red102
698812.8
922117.4
753632.8
Blue74
902118.5
588327.2
290516.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4956020408010010274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.84.8
23.328.1
Auto8.3
Teleop17.7
End6.9
red by 5.6
27.22.5
18.721.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End8.3
Second
9221
#20
17.44.8
12.917.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End7.9
blue by 1.1
9021
#18
18.50.7
18.519.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.8
End5.8
Third
6988
#23
12.84.8
10.515.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.5
End3.8
blue by 3.1
2905
#42
16.02.0
16.118.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned30%Activation oddsEarned