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Red30
805612.5
805418.5
804222.7
Blue62
807920.0
784019.7
687412.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455220304060703062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.4
19.317.8
Auto5.2
Teleop13.5
End4.0
red by 2.7
8079
#10
20.01.0
17.418.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End8.6
Second
18.51.4
15.013.6
Auto6.6
Teleop6.6
End5.4
blue by 1.1
7840
#39
19.71.5
18.319.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End6.8
Third
8056
#40
12.51.4
8.87.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End4.9
red by 0.2
6874
#25
12.31.5
12.514.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsMissed35%Activation oddsMissed