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Red59
888112.8
902118.5
904314.7
Blue44
497222.2
920112.4
855717.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504910203040607080905944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9021
#18
18.51.5
19.220.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.8
End5.8
blue by 3.6
4972
#30
22.20.5
19.719.2
Auto5.9
Teleop10.8
End5.5
Second
9043
#29
14.71.5
13.415.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End3.6
blue by 2.4
8557
#27
17.00.5
13.713.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End3.1
Third
8881
#34
12.81.5
12.614.2
Auto1.2
Teleop4.7
End6.9
red by 0.4
9201
#50
12.40.5
14.814.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsEarned16%Activation oddsMissed