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Red101
856120.1
753632.8
805418.5
Blue35
606417.1
757619.8
75755.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6349020408010012010135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.81.8
24.426.2
Auto8.3
Teleop17.7
End6.9
red by 13.0
7576
#13
19.81.3
20.519.1
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End7.4
Second
8561
#11
20.11.8
19.721.5
Auto6.8
Teleop6.6
End6.7
red by 3.0
6064
#24
17.12.0
15.613.6
Auto5.8
Teleop5.1
End6.2
Third
18.51.8
13.615.4
Auto6.6
Teleop6.6
End5.4
red by 12.9
7575
#48
5.72.0
11.89.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsMissed