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Red40
805815.7
805612.5
91607.3
Blue27
888112.8
75755.7
745812.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373601020305060704027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8058
#22
15.70.4
15.716.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End6.3
red by 2.9
8881
#34
12.80.8
14.213.3
Auto1.2
Teleop4.7
End6.9
Second
8056
#40
12.50.6
7.58.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End4.9
blue by 0.3
7458
#32
12.80.8
10.59.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End6.1
Third
9160
#37
7.30.6
10.911.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End0.1
red by 1.6
7575
#48
5.70.8
9.89.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
10%Activation oddsMissed17%Activation oddsMissed