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Red51
768216.6
90838.7
729812.4
Blue65
876220.9
606417.1
855717.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465101001502002503005165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7682
#21
16.60.8
14.715.6
Auto5.8
Teleop6.0
End4.8
blue by 4.4
8762
#33
20.91.9
18.820.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End5.2
Second
7298
#43
12.40.8
12.913.7
Auto1.3
Teleop6.5
End4.6
blue by 4.7
6064
#24
17.11.9
13.615.6
Auto5.8
Teleop5.1
End6.2
Third
9083
#38
8.70.8
15.916.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 8.3
8557
#27
17.01.9
15.017.0
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsEarned14%Activation oddsMissed