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Red94
816621.1
856120.1
81539.9
Blue102
804222.7
888112.8
566525.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5748020408010012094102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8166
#15
21.11.0
16.315.3
Auto9.3
Teleop6.9
End4.9
blue by 4.0
25.12.9
17.420.3
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End5.1
Second
8561
#11
20.11.0
18.817.8
Auto6.8
Teleop6.6
End6.7
blue by 2.6
22.72.9
15.418.3
Auto5.2
Teleop13.5
End4.0
Third
8153
#36
9.91.0
17.016.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.1
End4.7
blue by 2.9
8881
#34
12.82.9
13.516.3
Auto1.2
Teleop4.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed34%Activation oddsMissed