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Red74
745812.8
815112.1
642936.0
Blue58
876220.9
784019.7
902814.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565745506065707458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.01.8
31.132.9
Auto11.2
Teleop18.1
End6.6
red by 15.0
8762
#33
20.90.0
18.318.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End5.2
Second
7458
#32
12.81.8
11.012.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End6.1
blue by 6.9
7840
#39
19.70.0
18.418.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End6.8
Third
8151
#17
12.11.1
10.811.9
Auto3.7
Teleop2.2
End6.2
blue by 2.2
9028
#31
14.30.0
16.416.4
Auto1.8
Teleop7.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned11%Activation oddsMissed