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Red37
855717.0
924713.3
698812.8
Blue88
902420.6
805418.5
745812.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4556020801001203788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8557
#27
17.00.7
16.916.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End3.1
blue by 3.6
9024
#14
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto6.7
Teleop8.3
End5.6
Second
9247
#26
13.30.4
13.513.1
Auto7.1
Teleop2.7
End3.5
blue by 5.2
18.50.0
17.917.9
Auto6.6
Teleop6.6
End5.4
Third
6988
#23
12.80.7
12.812.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.5
End3.8
red by 0.1
7458
#32
12.80.0
12.812.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
15%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsEarned