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Red37
687412.3
855717.0
87997.9
Blue100
642936.0
753632.8
882817.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5159010015020037100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8557
#27
17.01.9
16.414.6
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End3.1
blue by 18.9
36.04.5
17.121.6
Auto11.2
Teleop18.1
End6.6
Second
6874
#25
12.31.9
16.114.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End3.1
blue by 20.6
32.84.5
18.823.3
Auto8.3
Teleop17.7
End6.9
Third
8799
#49DQ
7.91.9
16.314.5
Auto1.3
Teleop2.7
End3.9
blue by 9.9
8828
#16
17.84.5
18.823.2
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsEarned