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Red138
683845.7
728553.2
822016.2
Blue117
753632.8
642936.0
876220.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12288406080100140160180138117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.5
51.852.3
Auto16.2
Teleop30.6
End6.3
red by 17.2
36.00.8
34.935.7
Auto11.2
Teleop18.1
End6.6
Second
45.70.5
44.344.8
Auto12.5
Teleop25.4
End7.8
red by 12.8
32.80.8
31.732.6
Auto8.3
Teleop17.7
End6.9
Third
8220
#35
16.20.7
14.315.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End5.4
blue by 4.8
8762
#33
20.90.9
20.120.9
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End5.2