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Red93
753632.8
642936.0
768216.6
Blue95
804222.7
588327.2
816621.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9468204060801201401601809395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.3
35.736.0
Auto11.2
Teleop18.1
End6.6
red by 8.7
27.20.9
26.026.9
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End8.3
Second
32.80.3
32.632.8
Auto8.3
Teleop17.7
End6.9
red by 10.2
22.70.9
21.422.3
Auto5.2
Teleop13.5
End4.0
Third
7682
#21
16.60.3
16.316.6
Auto5.8
Teleop6.0
End4.8
blue by 4.5
8166
#15
21.10.9
19.920.8
Auto9.3
Teleop6.9
End4.9