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Red88
804222.7
588327.2
816621.1
Blue62
698812.8
805418.5
729812.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7540020601001208862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.2
25.625.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End8.3
red by 8.7
18.50.3
17.918.2
Auto6.6
Teleop6.6
End5.4
Second
22.70.2
21.021.2
Auto5.2
Teleop13.5
End4.0
red by 9.8
6988
#23
12.80.3
12.212.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.5
End3.8
Third
8166
#15
21.10.2
19.519.7
Auto9.3
Teleop6.9
End4.9
red by 8.8
7298
#43
12.40.3
11.712.0
Auto1.3
Teleop6.5
End4.6