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Red56
856120.1
815112.1
924713.3
Blue53
698812.8
805418.5
729812.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48450204060801005653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8561
#11
20.10.2
19.719.9
Auto6.8
Teleop6.6
End6.7
red by 1.5
18.50.3
18.218.5
Auto6.6
Teleop6.6
End5.4
Second
9247
#26
13.30.1
13.113.3
Auto7.1
Teleop2.7
End3.5
red by 0.5
6988
#23
12.80.3
12.512.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.5
End3.8
Third
8151
#17
12.10.1
11.812.0
Auto3.7
Teleop2.2
End6.2
blue by 0.3
7298
#43
12.40.3
12.012.4
Auto1.3
Teleop6.5
End4.6