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Red128
683845.7
728553.2
822016.2
Blue51
804222.7
588327.2
816621.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124635010015020012851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.4
51.451.8
Auto16.2
Teleop30.6
End6.3
red by 25.9
27.20.5
25.825.3
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End8.3
Second
45.70.4
43.944.3
Auto12.5
Teleop25.4
End7.8
red by 23.0
22.70.5
21.220.7
Auto5.2
Teleop13.5
End4.0
Third
8220
#35
16.20.6
13.614.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End5.4
blue by 5.0
8166
#15
21.10.5
19.719.2
Auto9.3
Teleop6.9
End4.9