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Red91
804222.7
588327.2
816621.1
Blue59
497222.2
708624.2
882817.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707040506080901009159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.3
25.325.6
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End8.3
red by 3.0
24.20.4
24.624.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.2
End6.2
Second
22.70.3
20.721.1
Auto5.2
Teleop13.5
End4.0
red by 0.5
4972
#30
22.20.6
22.822.2
Auto5.9
Teleop10.8
End5.5
Third
8166
#15
21.10.3
19.219.5
Auto9.3
Teleop6.9
End4.9
red by 3.4
8828
#16
17.80.6
18.417.8
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End5.8