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Red100
902517.8
683840.1
708625.9
Blue31
767221.5
874713.3
744439.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605320304070809010010031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.14.9
22.627.6
Auto10.4
Teleop21.9
End7.9
red by 0.6
39.62.2
20.117.9
Auto10.2
Teleop22.4
End7.1
Second
7086
#14
25.94.9
17.021.9
Auto3.5
Teleop13.4
End9.0
red by 4.4
7672
#16
21.52.2
18.316.1
Auto7.7
Teleop9.1
End4.7
Third
9025
#22
17.84.9
15.820.8
Auto7.9
Teleop7.1
End2.9
red by 4.6
8747
#32
13.32.2
12.410.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsMissed