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Red40
743920.0
815811.7
767221.5
Blue58
879511.7
808422.9
875917.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46464050554058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7672
#16
21.50.3
14.213.9
Auto7.7
Teleop9.1
End4.7
blue by 1.4
8084
#11
22.91.1
20.922.0
Auto7.7
Teleop12.5
End2.7
Second
7439
#27
20.00.3
17.617.3
Auto6.7
Teleop7.7
End5.6
red by 2.1
8759
#19
17.81.1
9.911.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End5.5
Third
8158
#44DQ
11.70.3
11.010.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End3.6
Level
8795
#43
11.71.1
12.113.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
15%Activation oddsMissed19%Activation oddsMissed