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Red73
805815.3
60256.4
744439.6
Blue40
900123.5
643113.7
815113.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4346102030506070807340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.61.4
21.923.3
Auto10.2
Teleop22.4
End7.1
red by 16.1
9001
#10
23.50.3
17.717.4
Auto11.3
Teleop7.3
End4.9
Second
8058
#41
15.31.4
12.213.5
Auto1.4
Teleop6.9
End7.0
red by 1.5
8151
#31
13.80.3
12.512.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End5.7
Third
6025
#36
6.40.8
6.47.2
Auto3.2
Teleop1.0
End2.3
blue by 7.2
6431
#28
13.70.2
12.512.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsMissed21%Activation oddsMissed