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Red52
623217.7
703526.7
807010.3
Blue60
775821.6
902423.8
767221.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454820304060705260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7035
#15
26.70.4
15.916.3
Auto8.4
Teleop10.1
End8.3
red by 2.9
23.81.7
12.514.2
Auto6.2
Teleop11.1
End6.5
Second
6232
#29
17.70.4
16.917.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End5.3
blue by 3.9
21.61.7
18.620.3
Auto7.2
Teleop11.3
End3.1
Third
8070
#38
10.30.4
10.210.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End2.9
blue by 11.3
7672
#16
21.51.7
13.915.5
Auto7.7
Teleop9.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
12%Activation oddsMissed19%Activation oddsMissed