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Red36
577311.5
729611.1
815811.7
Blue100
923319.0
87549.0
767221.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3741020608010036100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8158
#44
11.71.0
10.99.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End3.6
blue by 9.8
7672
#16
21.52.3
15.517.8
Auto7.7
Teleop9.1
End4.7
Second
5773
#42
11.51.0
11.510.4
Auto2.3
Teleop5.6
End3.6
blue by 7.5
19.02.3
16.018.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.0
End7.8
Third
7296
#35
11.11.0
12.811.7
Auto1.9
Teleop6.1
End3.0
red by 2.0
8754
#37
9.01.4
6.78.1
Auto1.0
Teleop3.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
11%Activation oddsMissed14%Activation oddsMissed