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Red116
913222.1
767221.5
703526.7
Blue95
643113.7
926428.4
805815.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6247020408010012014011695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7035
#15
26.73.2
18.321.5
Auto8.4
Teleop10.1
End8.3
blue by 1.7
9264
#20
28.43.3
19.522.9
Auto9.4
Teleop14.9
End4.1
Second
9132
#12
22.13.2
15.919.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End5.8
red by 6.8
8058
#41
15.33.3
13.016.4
Auto1.4
Teleop6.9
End7.0
Third
7672
#16
21.53.2
22.125.3
Auto7.7
Teleop9.1
End4.7
red by 7.8
6431
#28
13.72.1
13.215.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
11%Activation oddsEarned8%Activation oddsEarned