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Red50
885619.5
60256.4
807010.3
Blue40
809212.8
818214.7
874713.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364702060801005040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8856
#33
19.50.5
18.118.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End6.3
red by 4.7
8182
#23
14.70.3
16.516.3
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End9.3
Second
8070
#38
10.30.5
9.810.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End2.9
blue by 3.0
8747
#32
13.30.3
13.012.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End4.1
Third
6025
#36
6.40.3
7.27.5
Auto3.2
Teleop1.0
End2.3
blue by 6.4
8092
#24
12.80.3
13.112.9
Auto2.4
Teleop6.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
7%Activation oddsMissed19%Activation oddsMissed